Geographic Profiling

By: Caitlin Dempsey

Last updated:

Imagine being able to use geographic logic to ferret out a serial criminalโ€™s home. One person, a former police detective from Vancouver, Canada did exactly that. Geoprofiling (or geographic profiling) is a concept first proposed by Kim Rossmo in his doctoral thesis while at British Columbiaโ€™s Simon Fraser University. The crux of Rossmoโ€™s mathematics equation is a psychological theory called the least-effort principle. This concept proposes that criminals tend to commit acts of crimes within a comfort zone located near but not too close to their residence. With at least five or six incidents traceable back to the perpetrator, Rossmoโ€™s algorithm reduces the search area for the criminalโ€™s residence by more than 90 percent.

Key locations are weighted and then geocoded onto a map. The end process is known as a โ€œjeopardy surfaceโ€, a map that resembles a topographical map showing peaks and valleys color ramped to highlight the most likely area where that criminal resides.

Rossmoโ€™s analytical tool has been packaged into a commercial program calledย Rigelย sold byย Environmental Criminology Research, Incย (ECRI). Geoprofiling is gain popularity among police agencies as a crime-fighting tool, having been put into practice within the FBI, ATF, Scotland Yard and other agencies.

For more resources on geoprofiling visit:

What is Geographic Profiling?
Primer produced by Environmental Criminology Research, Inc on geoprofiling. Find further articles,books and learn where to find training in geoprofiling.





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Caitlin Dempsey
Caitlin Dempsey is the editor of Geography Realm and holds a master's degree in Geography from UCLA as well as a Master of Library and Information Science (MLIS) from SJSU.